SRP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in SRP averaged 3,520 MW and typically peaked at 16:00 local time (4,282 MW) and bottomed out at 03:00 (2,744 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 2,507 MW at 09:00 and then rose 542 MW between 14:00 to 17:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Phoenix).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in SRP was 3,520 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 16:00 local time (4,282 MW) and the lowest was 03:00 (2,744 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 99 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 6,539 MW, in the hour starting 8 Oct 2026, 15:00 MST (UTC-07:00).
- Solar output averaged 940 MW at its 14:00 peak, 27% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 3,032 MW, fell to 2,507 MW at 09:00 and rose 542 MW over the three hours from 14:00 to 17:00, 15% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Phoenix time| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 3,210 MW | 6,807 MW |
| 01:00 | 2,988 MW | 6,648 MW |
| 02:00 | 2,807 MW | 6,512 MW |
| 03:00 | 2,744 MW | 6,421 MW |
| 04:00 | 2,785 MW | 6,373 MW |
| 05:00 | 2,864 MW | 6,469 MW |
| 06:00 | 2,953 MW | 6,554 MW |
| 07:00 | 3,115 MW | 6,725 MW |
| 08:00 | 3,233 MW | 6,205 MW |
| 09:00 | 3,323 MW | 6,047 MW |
| 10:00 | 3,468 MW | 6,135 MW |
| 11:00 | 3,652 MW | 6,350 MW |
| 12:00 | 3,862 MW | 6,654 MW |
| 13:00 | 4,015 MW | 6,838 MW |
| 14:00 | 4,121 MW | 6,937 MW |
| 15:00 | 4,181 MW | 6,932 MW |
| 16:00 | 4,282 MW | 7,250 MW |
| 17:00 | 4,220 MW | 7,721 MW |
| 18:00 | 4,105 MW | 7,710 MW |
| 19:00 | 3,943 MW | 7,729 MW |
| 20:00 | 3,927 MW | 7,704 MW |
| 21:00 | 3,735 MW | 7,414 MW |
| 22:00 | 3,540 MW | 7,171 MW |
| 23:00 | 3,406 MW | 6,960 MW |
| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar and wind) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 3,210 MW | 3,102 MW |
| 01:00 | 2,988 MW | 2,900 MW |
| 02:00 | 2,807 MW | 2,730 MW |
| 03:00 | 2,744 MW | 2,678 MW |
| 04:00 | 2,785 MW | 2,724 MW |
| 05:00 | 2,864 MW | 2,797 MW |
| 06:00 | 2,953 MW | 2,879 MW |
| 07:00 | 3,115 MW | 2,709 MW |
| 08:00 | 3,233 MW | 2,535 MW |
| 09:00 | 3,323 MW | 2,507 MW |
| 10:00 | 3,468 MW | 2,612 MW |
| 11:00 | 3,652 MW | 2,755 MW |
| 12:00 | 3,862 MW | 2,906 MW |
| 13:00 | 4,015 MW | 3,022 MW |
| 14:00 | 4,121 MW | 3,081 MW |
| 15:00 | 4,181 MW | 3,174 MW |
| 16:00 | 4,282 MW | 3,418 MW |
| 17:00 | 4,220 MW | 3,623 MW |
| 18:00 | 4,105 MW | 3,659 MW |
| 19:00 | 3,943 MW | 3,514 MW |
| 20:00 | 3,927 MW | 3,485 MW |
| 21:00 | 3,735 MW | 3,435 MW |
| 22:00 | 3,540 MW | 3,300 MW |
| 23:00 | 3,406 MW | 3,215 MW |
| Local hour (America/Phoenix) | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 45 MW | 63 MW |
| 01:00 | 23 MW | 64 MW |
| 02:00 | 8 MW | 69 MW |
| 03:00 | 4 MW | 61 MW |
| 04:00 | 0 MW | 61 MW |
| 05:00 | 3 MW | 64 MW |
| 06:00 | 8 MW | 66 MW |
| 07:00 | 340 MW | 66 MW |
| 08:00 | 632 MW | 66 MW |
| 09:00 | 746 MW | 70 MW |
| 10:00 | 779 MW | 78 MW |
| 11:00 | 803 MW | 93 MW |
| 12:00 | 852 MW | 104 MW |
| 13:00 | 888 MW | 106 MW |
| 14:00 | 940 MW | 100 MW |
| 15:00 | 908 MW | 99 MW |
| 16:00 | 770 MW | 93 MW |
| 17:00 | 510 MW | 87 MW |
| 18:00 | 369 MW | 77 MW |
| 19:00 | 363 MW | 67 MW |
| 20:00 | 381 MW | 61 MW |
| 21:00 | 235 MW | 65 MW |
| 22:00 | 174 MW | 66 MW |
| 23:00 | 123 MW | 68 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Wind | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 3,210 MW | 6,807 MW | 45 MW | 63 MW | 3,102 MW |
| 01:00 | 2,988 MW | 6,648 MW | 23 MW | 64 MW | 2,900 MW |
| 02:00 | 2,807 MW | 6,512 MW | 8 MW | 69 MW | 2,730 MW |
| 03:00 | 2,744 MW | 6,421 MW | 4 MW | 61 MW | 2,678 MW |
| 04:00 | 2,785 MW | 6,373 MW | 0 MW | 61 MW | 2,724 MW |
| 05:00 | 2,864 MW | 6,469 MW | 3 MW | 64 MW | 2,797 MW |
| 06:00 | 2,953 MW | 6,554 MW | 8 MW | 66 MW | 2,879 MW |
| 07:00 | 3,115 MW | 6,725 MW | 340 MW | 66 MW | 2,709 MW |
| 08:00 | 3,233 MW | 6,205 MW | 632 MW | 66 MW | 2,535 MW |
| 09:00 | 3,323 MW | 6,047 MW | 746 MW | 70 MW | 2,507 MW |
| 10:00 | 3,468 MW | 6,135 MW | 779 MW | 78 MW | 2,612 MW |
| 11:00 | 3,652 MW | 6,350 MW | 803 MW | 93 MW | 2,755 MW |
| 12:00 | 3,862 MW | 6,654 MW | 852 MW | 104 MW | 2,906 MW |
| 13:00 | 4,015 MW | 6,838 MW | 888 MW | 106 MW | 3,022 MW |
| 14:00 | 4,121 MW | 6,937 MW | 940 MW | 100 MW | 3,081 MW |
| 15:00 | 4,181 MW | 6,932 MW | 908 MW | 99 MW | 3,174 MW |
| 16:00 | 4,282 MW | 7,250 MW | 770 MW | 93 MW | 3,418 MW |
| 17:00 | 4,220 MW | 7,721 MW | 510 MW | 87 MW | 3,623 MW |
| 18:00 | 4,105 MW | 7,710 MW | 369 MW | 77 MW | 3,659 MW |
| 19:00 | 3,943 MW | 7,729 MW | 363 MW | 67 MW | 3,514 MW |
| 20:00 | 3,927 MW | 7,704 MW | 381 MW | 61 MW | 3,485 MW |
| 21:00 | 3,735 MW | 7,414 MW | 235 MW | 65 MW | 3,435 MW |
| 22:00 | 3,540 MW | 7,171 MW | 174 MW | 66 MW | 3,300 MW |
| 23:00 | 3,406 MW | 6,960 MW | 123 MW | 68 MW | 3,215 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 6,539 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Phoenix. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). SRP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/srp/
World Power Monitor. SRP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/srp/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_srp_2026,
title = {{SRP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/srp/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/srp/
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