CAISO Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in CAISO averaged 28,734 MW and typically peaked at 18:00 local time (32,978 MW) and bottomed out at 04:00 (22,942 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 13,359 MW at 10:00 and then rose 15,005 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Los_Angeles).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in CAISO was 28,734 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 18:00 local time (32,978 MW) and the lowest was 04:00 (22,942 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 629 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 46,213 MW, in the hour starting 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 PDT (UTC-07:00).
- Solar output averaged 16,363 MW at its 11:00 peak, 57% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 20,810 MW, fell to 13,359 MW at 10:00 and rose 15,005 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 52% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Los_Angeles time| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 25,587 MW | 19,764 MW |
| 01:00 | 24,249 MW | 18,440 MW |
| 02:00 | 23,429 MW | 17,321 MW |
| 03:00 | 23,088 MW | 16,651 MW |
| 04:00 | 22,942 MW | 16,773 MW |
| 05:00 | 23,367 MW | 17,607 MW |
| 06:00 | 24,505 MW | 19,401 MW |
| 07:00 | 25,772 MW | 20,372 MW |
| 08:00 | 28,661 MW | 21,329 MW |
| 09:00 | 30,920 MW | 21,074 MW |
| 10:00 | 31,349 MW | 20,644 MW |
| 11:00 | 31,557 MW | 20,671 MW |
| 12:00 | 31,587 MW | 21,443 MW |
| 13:00 | 31,783 MW | 22,594 MW |
| 14:00 | 32,241 MW | 24,207 MW |
| 15:00 | 32,549 MW | 26,182 MW |
| 16:00 | 32,540 MW | 27,516 MW |
| 17:00 | 32,870 MW | 27,786 MW |
| 18:00 | 32,978 MW | 27,534 MW |
| 19:00 | 32,183 MW | 26,501 MW |
| 20:00 | 30,939 MW | 25,358 MW |
| 21:00 | 29,860 MW | 24,624 MW |
| 22:00 | 28,136 MW | 22,663 MW |
| 23:00 | 26,525 MW | 20,805 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar and wind) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 25,587 MW | 23,470 MW |
| 01:00 | 24,249 MW | 22,098 MW |
| 02:00 | 23,429 MW | 21,246 MW |
| 03:00 | 23,088 MW | 20,981 MW |
| 04:00 | 22,942 MW | 20,929 MW |
| 05:00 | 23,367 MW | 21,386 MW |
| 06:00 | 24,505 MW | 22,595 MW |
| 07:00 | 25,772 MW | 21,113 MW |
| 08:00 | 28,661 MW | 15,984 MW |
| 09:00 | 30,920 MW | 14,001 MW |
| 10:00 | 31,349 MW | 13,359 MW |
| 11:00 | 31,557 MW | 13,365 MW |
| 12:00 | 31,587 MW | 13,409 MW |
| 13:00 | 31,783 MW | 13,678 MW |
| 14:00 | 32,241 MW | 14,445 MW |
| 15:00 | 32,549 MW | 15,542 MW |
| 16:00 | 32,540 MW | 18,153 MW |
| 17:00 | 32,870 MW | 26,053 MW |
| 18:00 | 32,978 MW | 30,547 MW |
| 19:00 | 32,183 MW | 29,963 MW |
| 20:00 | 30,939 MW | 28,845 MW |
| 21:00 | 29,860 MW | 27,755 MW |
| 22:00 | 28,136 MW | 26,033 MW |
| 23:00 | 26,525 MW | 24,490 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 1 MW | 2,116 MW |
| 01:00 | 1 MW | 2,150 MW |
| 02:00 | 1 MW | 2,182 MW |
| 03:00 | 1 MW | 2,106 MW |
| 04:00 | 1 MW | 2,012 MW |
| 05:00 | 1 MW | 1,981 MW |
| 06:00 | 9 MW | 1,901 MW |
| 07:00 | 2,922 MW | 1,736 MW |
| 08:00 | 11,054 MW | 1,622 MW |
| 09:00 | 15,255 MW | 1,664 MW |
| 10:00 | 16,233 MW | 1,756 MW |
| 11:00 | 16,363 MW | 1,830 MW |
| 12:00 | 16,230 MW | 1,948 MW |
| 13:00 | 16,031 MW | 2,074 MW |
| 14:00 | 15,635 MW | 2,162 MW |
| 15:00 | 14,780 MW | 2,226 MW |
| 16:00 | 12,140 MW | 2,246 MW |
| 17:00 | 4,572 MW | 2,245 MW |
| 18:00 | 223 MW | 2,208 MW |
| 19:00 | 8 MW | 2,211 MW |
| 20:00 | 0 MW | 2,094 MW |
| 21:00 | 1 MW | 2,104 MW |
| 22:00 | 1 MW | 2,102 MW |
| 23:00 | 1 MW | 2,034 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Wind | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 25,587 MW | 19,764 MW | 1 MW | 2,116 MW | 23,470 MW |
| 01:00 | 24,249 MW | 18,440 MW | 1 MW | 2,150 MW | 22,098 MW |
| 02:00 | 23,429 MW | 17,321 MW | 1 MW | 2,182 MW | 21,246 MW |
| 03:00 | 23,088 MW | 16,651 MW | 1 MW | 2,106 MW | 20,981 MW |
| 04:00 | 22,942 MW | 16,773 MW | 1 MW | 2,012 MW | 20,929 MW |
| 05:00 | 23,367 MW | 17,607 MW | 1 MW | 1,981 MW | 21,386 MW |
| 06:00 | 24,505 MW | 19,401 MW | 9 MW | 1,901 MW | 22,595 MW |
| 07:00 | 25,772 MW | 20,372 MW | 2,922 MW | 1,736 MW | 21,113 MW |
| 08:00 | 28,661 MW | 21,329 MW | 11,054 MW | 1,622 MW | 15,984 MW |
| 09:00 | 30,920 MW | 21,074 MW | 15,255 MW | 1,664 MW | 14,001 MW |
| 10:00 | 31,349 MW | 20,644 MW | 16,233 MW | 1,756 MW | 13,359 MW |
| 11:00 | 31,557 MW | 20,671 MW | 16,363 MW | 1,830 MW | 13,365 MW |
| 12:00 | 31,587 MW | 21,443 MW | 16,230 MW | 1,948 MW | 13,409 MW |
| 13:00 | 31,783 MW | 22,594 MW | 16,031 MW | 2,074 MW | 13,678 MW |
| 14:00 | 32,241 MW | 24,207 MW | 15,635 MW | 2,162 MW | 14,445 MW |
| 15:00 | 32,549 MW | 26,182 MW | 14,780 MW | 2,226 MW | 15,542 MW |
| 16:00 | 32,540 MW | 27,516 MW | 12,140 MW | 2,246 MW | 18,153 MW |
| 17:00 | 32,870 MW | 27,786 MW | 4,572 MW | 2,245 MW | 26,053 MW |
| 18:00 | 32,978 MW | 27,534 MW | 223 MW | 2,208 MW | 30,547 MW |
| 19:00 | 32,183 MW | 26,501 MW | 8 MW | 2,211 MW | 29,963 MW |
| 20:00 | 30,939 MW | 25,358 MW | 0 MW | 2,094 MW | 28,845 MW |
| 21:00 | 29,860 MW | 24,624 MW | 1 MW | 2,104 MW | 27,755 MW |
| 22:00 | 28,136 MW | 22,663 MW | 1 MW | 2,102 MW | 26,033 MW |
| 23:00 | 26,525 MW | 20,805 MW | 1 MW | 2,034 MW | 24,490 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 46,213 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Los_Angeles. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). CAISO Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/caiso/
World Power Monitor. CAISO Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/caiso/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_caiso_2026,
title = {{CAISO Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/caiso/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/caiso/
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