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Data as of 2026-10-27
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Built 2026-10-28 (28 October 2026)

PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in PACE averaged 5,584 MW and typically peaked at 13:00 local time (6,426 MW) and bottomed out at 03:00 (4,882 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 2,665 MW at 14:00 and then rose 1,167 MW between 16:00 to 19:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Denver).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in PACE was 5,584 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 13:00 local time (6,426 MW) and the lowest was 03:00 (4,882 MW).
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 7,446 MW, in the hour starting 5 Oct 2026, 13:00 MDT (UTC-06:00).
  • Solar output averaged 2,247 MW at its 11:00 peak, 40% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 3,486 MW, fell to 2,665 MW at 14:00 and rose 1,167 MW over the three hours from 16:00 to 19:00, 21% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Denver time
PACE average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (4,882 MW) and highest at 13:00 (6,426 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. It was lowest at 03:00 (4,882 MW) and highest at 13:00 (6,426 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
PACE average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)DemandNet generation
00:004,976 MW6,403 MW
01:004,974 MW6,367 MW
02:004,901 MW6,321 MW
03:004,882 MW6,230 MW
04:004,919 MW6,113 MW
05:004,991 MW6,084 MW
06:005,125 MW6,180 MW
07:005,203 MW6,234 MW
08:005,452 MW6,586 MW
09:005,964 MW7,204 MW
10:006,179 MW7,280 MW
11:006,330 MW7,444 MW
12:006,393 MW7,508 MW
13:006,426 MW7,486 MW
14:006,409 MW7,486 MW
15:006,379 MW7,432 MW
16:006,367 MW7,408 MW
17:006,157 MW7,106 MW
18:005,549 MW6,564 MW
19:005,377 MW6,454 MW
20:005,409 MW6,527 MW
21:005,319 MW6,589 MW
22:005,209 MW6,569 MW
23:005,123 MW6,573 MW
PACE duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Net load was lowest at 14:00 (2,665 MW) and then rose 1,167 MW between 16:00 to 19:00. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Net load was lowest at 14:00 (2,665 MW) and then rose 1,167 MW between 16:00 to 19:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
PACE duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)DemandNet load (demand minus solar and wind)
00:004,976 MW3,781 MW
01:004,974 MW3,789 MW
02:004,901 MW3,696 MW
03:004,882 MW3,664 MW
04:004,919 MW3,736 MW
05:004,991 MW3,856 MW
06:005,125 MW3,997 MW
07:005,203 MW3,986 MW
08:005,452 MW3,554 MW
09:005,964 MW3,020 MW
10:006,179 MW2,852 MW
11:006,330 MW2,748 MW
12:006,393 MW2,725 MW
13:006,426 MW2,730 MW
14:006,409 MW2,665 MW
15:006,379 MW2,716 MW
16:006,367 MW2,894 MW
17:006,157 MW3,407 MW
18:005,549 MW3,848 MW
19:005,377 MW4,061 MW
20:005,409 MW4,120 MW
21:005,319 MW4,038 MW
22:005,209 MW3,929 MW
23:005,123 MW3,858 MW
PACE average solar and wind output by local hour Average solar and wind generation in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 2,247 MW. 0 625 1,250 1,875 2,500 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar and wind generation in PACE by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 2,247 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
PACE average solar and wind output by local hour
Local hour (America/Denver)SolarWind
00:000 MW1,195 MW
01:000 MW1,185 MW
02:000 MW1,205 MW
03:000 MW1,218 MW
04:000 MW1,182 MW
05:000 MW1,136 MW
06:000 MW1,128 MW
07:0022 MW1,196 MW
08:00727 MW1,172 MW
09:001,808 MW1,136 MW
10:002,138 MW1,188 MW
11:002,247 MW1,336 MW
12:002,244 MW1,424 MW
13:002,222 MW1,474 MW
14:002,210 MW1,534 MW
15:002,088 MW1,576 MW
16:001,868 MW1,604 MW
17:001,185 MW1,564 MW
18:00223 MW1,477 MW
19:000 MW1,316 MW
20:000 MW1,289 MW
21:000 MW1,281 MW
22:000 MW1,280 MW
23:000 MW1,264 MW
Average PACE demand, net generation, solar, wind and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarWindNet load
00:00 4,976 MW 6,403 MW 0 MW 1,195 MW 3,781 MW
01:00 4,974 MW 6,367 MW 0 MW 1,185 MW 3,789 MW
02:00 4,901 MW 6,321 MW 0 MW 1,205 MW 3,696 MW
03:00 4,882 MW 6,230 MW 0 MW 1,218 MW 3,664 MW
04:00 4,919 MW 6,113 MW 0 MW 1,182 MW 3,736 MW
05:00 4,991 MW 6,084 MW 0 MW 1,136 MW 3,856 MW
06:00 5,125 MW 6,180 MW 0 MW 1,128 MW 3,997 MW
07:00 5,203 MW 6,234 MW 22 MW 1,196 MW 3,986 MW
08:00 5,452 MW 6,586 MW 727 MW 1,172 MW 3,554 MW
09:00 5,964 MW 7,204 MW 1,808 MW 1,136 MW 3,020 MW
10:00 6,179 MW 7,280 MW 2,138 MW 1,188 MW 2,852 MW
11:00 6,330 MW 7,444 MW 2,247 MW 1,336 MW 2,748 MW
12:00 6,393 MW 7,508 MW 2,244 MW 1,424 MW 2,725 MW
13:00 6,426 MW 7,486 MW 2,222 MW 1,474 MW 2,730 MW
14:00 6,409 MW 7,486 MW 2,210 MW 1,534 MW 2,665 MW
15:00 6,379 MW 7,432 MW 2,088 MW 1,576 MW 2,716 MW
16:00 6,367 MW 7,408 MW 1,868 MW 1,604 MW 2,894 MW
17:00 6,157 MW 7,106 MW 1,185 MW 1,564 MW 3,407 MW
18:00 5,549 MW 6,564 MW 223 MW 1,477 MW 3,848 MW
19:00 5,377 MW 6,454 MW 0 MW 1,316 MW 4,061 MW
20:00 5,409 MW 6,527 MW 0 MW 1,289 MW 4,120 MW
21:00 5,319 MW 6,589 MW 0 MW 1,281 MW 4,038 MW
22:00 5,209 MW 6,569 MW 0 MW 1,280 MW 3,929 MW
23:00 5,123 MW 6,573 MW 0 MW 1,264 MW 3,858 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 7,446 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Denver. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/

BibTeX 
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_pace_2026,
  title = {{PACE Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/pace/}
}

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