NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026

In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in NEVP averaged 4,660 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (5,394 MW) and bottomed out at 04:00 (3,796 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 2,295 MW at 10:00 and then rose 2,510 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Los_Angeles).

Key Facts

  • Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in NEVP was 4,660 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (5,394 MW) and the lowest was 04:00 (3,796 MW).
  • The largest three hour rise in average demand was 219 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
  • The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 7,149 MW, in the hour starting 8 Oct 2026, 15:00 PDT (UTC-07:00).
  • Solar output averaged 2,623 MW at its 11:00 peak, 56% of average demand.
  • Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 3,645 MW, fell to 2,295 MW at 10:00 and rose 2,510 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 54% of average demand.

Average Day by Local Hour

29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Los_Angeles time
NEVP average demand and net generation by local hour Average electricity demand in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. It was lowest at 04:00 (3,796 MW) and highest at 17:00 (5,394 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports. 0 1,500 3,000 4,500 6,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average electricity demand in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. It was lowest at 04:00 (3,796 MW) and highest at 17:00 (5,394 MW). Net generation is the power produced inside the grid, so it differs from demand by net imports.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
NEVP average demand and net generation by local hour
Local hour (America/Los_Angeles)DemandNet generation
00:004,160 MW3,905 MW
01:004,002 MW3,784 MW
02:003,876 MW3,709 MW
03:003,809 MW3,649 MW
04:003,796 MW3,648 MW
05:003,887 MW3,627 MW
06:004,029 MW3,612 MW
07:004,138 MW3,933 MW
08:004,571 MW4,688 MW
09:004,848 MW5,041 MW
10:004,960 MW5,175 MW
11:005,030 MW5,198 MW
12:005,003 MW5,119 MW
13:005,111 MW5,202 MW
14:005,175 MW5,306 MW
15:005,280 MW5,448 MW
16:005,389 MW5,337 MW
17:005,394 MW4,995 MW
18:005,365 MW4,918 MW
19:005,232 MW4,853 MW
20:005,024 MW4,638 MW
21:004,842 MW4,370 MW
22:004,584 MW4,134 MW
23:004,339 MW4,040 MW
NEVP duck curve: demand and net load by local hour Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (2,295 MW) and then rose 2,510 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. 0 1,500 3,000 4,500 6,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average demand and net load (demand minus solar and wind) in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Net load was lowest at 10:00 (2,295 MW) and then rose 2,510 MW between 15:00 to 18:00.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
NEVP duck curve: demand and net load by local hour
Local hour (America/Los_Angeles)DemandNet load (demand minus solar and wind)
00:004,160 MW4,118 MW
01:004,002 MW3,960 MW
02:003,876 MW3,835 MW
03:003,809 MW3,765 MW
04:003,796 MW3,746 MW
05:003,887 MW3,841 MW
06:004,029 MW3,973 MW
07:004,138 MW3,528 MW
08:004,571 MW2,576 MW
09:004,848 MW2,312 MW
10:004,960 MW2,295 MW
11:005,030 MW2,360 MW
12:005,003 MW2,428 MW
13:005,111 MW2,468 MW
14:005,175 MW2,547 MW
15:005,280 MW2,707 MW
16:005,389 MW3,420 MW
17:005,394 MW4,809 MW
18:005,365 MW5,217 MW
19:005,232 MW5,100 MW
20:005,024 MW4,906 MW
21:004,842 MW4,753 MW
22:004,584 MW4,535 MW
23:004,339 MW4,293 MW
NEVP average solar and wind output by local hour Average solar and wind generation in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 2,623 MW. 0 750 1,500 2,250 3,000 00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Average solar and wind generation in NEVP by local clock hour over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026. Solar peaked at 11:00 at 2,623 MW.
Mean MW by local hour, 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-27
NEVP average solar and wind output by local hour
Local hour (America/Los_Angeles)SolarWind
00:0012 MW30 MW
01:0012 MW29 MW
02:0013 MW29 MW
03:0013 MW31 MW
04:0013 MW37 MW
05:0013 MW34 MW
06:0027 MW29 MW
07:00582 MW28 MW
08:001,965 MW31 MW
09:002,498 MW37 MW
10:002,621 MW44 MW
11:002,623 MW47 MW
12:002,529 MW46 MW
13:002,595 MW48 MW
14:002,581 MW48 MW
15:002,527 MW45 MW
16:001,929 MW40 MW
17:00547 MW38 MW
18:00104 MW43 MW
19:0091 MW41 MW
20:0081 MW37 MW
21:0051 MW38 MW
22:0015 MW34 MW
23:0014 MW32 MW
Average NEVP demand, net generation, solar, wind and net load by local hour
Local hourDemandNet generationSolarWindNet load
00:00 4,160 MW 3,905 MW 12 MW 30 MW 4,118 MW
01:00 4,002 MW 3,784 MW 12 MW 29 MW 3,960 MW
02:00 3,876 MW 3,709 MW 13 MW 29 MW 3,835 MW
03:00 3,809 MW 3,649 MW 13 MW 31 MW 3,765 MW
04:00 3,796 MW 3,648 MW 13 MW 37 MW 3,746 MW
05:00 3,887 MW 3,627 MW 13 MW 34 MW 3,841 MW
06:00 4,029 MW 3,612 MW 27 MW 29 MW 3,973 MW
07:00 4,138 MW 3,933 MW 582 MW 28 MW 3,528 MW
08:00 4,571 MW 4,688 MW 1,965 MW 31 MW 2,576 MW
09:00 4,848 MW 5,041 MW 2,498 MW 37 MW 2,312 MW
10:00 4,960 MW 5,175 MW 2,621 MW 44 MW 2,295 MW
11:00 5,030 MW 5,198 MW 2,623 MW 47 MW 2,360 MW
12:00 5,003 MW 5,119 MW 2,529 MW 46 MW 2,428 MW
13:00 5,111 MW 5,202 MW 2,595 MW 48 MW 2,468 MW
14:00 5,175 MW 5,306 MW 2,581 MW 48 MW 2,547 MW
15:00 5,280 MW 5,448 MW 2,527 MW 45 MW 2,707 MW
16:00 5,389 MW 5,337 MW 1,929 MW 40 MW 3,420 MW
17:00 5,394 MW 4,995 MW 547 MW 38 MW 4,809 MW
18:00 5,365 MW 4,918 MW 104 MW 43 MW 5,217 MW
19:00 5,232 MW 4,853 MW 91 MW 41 MW 5,100 MW
20:00 5,024 MW 4,638 MW 81 MW 37 MW 4,906 MW
21:00 4,842 MW 4,370 MW 51 MW 38 MW 4,753 MW
22:00 4,584 MW 4,134 MW 15 MW 34 MW 4,535 MW
23:00 4,339 MW 4,040 MW 14 MW 32 MW 4,293 MW

Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 7,149 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.

Assumptions

  • Hours are local clock time in America/Los_Angeles. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
  • The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
  • The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Cite this page
APA 7

World Power Monitor. (2026). NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/

Plain text

World Power Monitor. NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/

BibTeX
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_nevp_2026,
  title = {{NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
  author = {{World Power Monitor}},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
  url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/}
}

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