NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in NEVP averaged 4,660 MW and typically peaked at 17:00 local time (5,394 MW) and bottomed out at 04:00 (3,796 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 2,295 MW at 10:00 and then rose 2,510 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Los_Angeles).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in NEVP was 4,660 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 17:00 local time (5,394 MW) and the lowest was 04:00 (3,796 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 219 MW, between 14:00 to 17:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 7,149 MW, in the hour starting 8 Oct 2026, 15:00 PDT (UTC-07:00).
- Solar output averaged 2,623 MW at its 11:00 peak, 56% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 3,645 MW, fell to 2,295 MW at 10:00 and rose 2,510 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 54% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Los_Angeles time| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 4,160 MW | 3,905 MW |
| 01:00 | 4,002 MW | 3,784 MW |
| 02:00 | 3,876 MW | 3,709 MW |
| 03:00 | 3,809 MW | 3,649 MW |
| 04:00 | 3,796 MW | 3,648 MW |
| 05:00 | 3,887 MW | 3,627 MW |
| 06:00 | 4,029 MW | 3,612 MW |
| 07:00 | 4,138 MW | 3,933 MW |
| 08:00 | 4,571 MW | 4,688 MW |
| 09:00 | 4,848 MW | 5,041 MW |
| 10:00 | 4,960 MW | 5,175 MW |
| 11:00 | 5,030 MW | 5,198 MW |
| 12:00 | 5,003 MW | 5,119 MW |
| 13:00 | 5,111 MW | 5,202 MW |
| 14:00 | 5,175 MW | 5,306 MW |
| 15:00 | 5,280 MW | 5,448 MW |
| 16:00 | 5,389 MW | 5,337 MW |
| 17:00 | 5,394 MW | 4,995 MW |
| 18:00 | 5,365 MW | 4,918 MW |
| 19:00 | 5,232 MW | 4,853 MW |
| 20:00 | 5,024 MW | 4,638 MW |
| 21:00 | 4,842 MW | 4,370 MW |
| 22:00 | 4,584 MW | 4,134 MW |
| 23:00 | 4,339 MW | 4,040 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar and wind) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 4,160 MW | 4,118 MW |
| 01:00 | 4,002 MW | 3,960 MW |
| 02:00 | 3,876 MW | 3,835 MW |
| 03:00 | 3,809 MW | 3,765 MW |
| 04:00 | 3,796 MW | 3,746 MW |
| 05:00 | 3,887 MW | 3,841 MW |
| 06:00 | 4,029 MW | 3,973 MW |
| 07:00 | 4,138 MW | 3,528 MW |
| 08:00 | 4,571 MW | 2,576 MW |
| 09:00 | 4,848 MW | 2,312 MW |
| 10:00 | 4,960 MW | 2,295 MW |
| 11:00 | 5,030 MW | 2,360 MW |
| 12:00 | 5,003 MW | 2,428 MW |
| 13:00 | 5,111 MW | 2,468 MW |
| 14:00 | 5,175 MW | 2,547 MW |
| 15:00 | 5,280 MW | 2,707 MW |
| 16:00 | 5,389 MW | 3,420 MW |
| 17:00 | 5,394 MW | 4,809 MW |
| 18:00 | 5,365 MW | 5,217 MW |
| 19:00 | 5,232 MW | 5,100 MW |
| 20:00 | 5,024 MW | 4,906 MW |
| 21:00 | 4,842 MW | 4,753 MW |
| 22:00 | 4,584 MW | 4,535 MW |
| 23:00 | 4,339 MW | 4,293 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 12 MW | 30 MW |
| 01:00 | 12 MW | 29 MW |
| 02:00 | 13 MW | 29 MW |
| 03:00 | 13 MW | 31 MW |
| 04:00 | 13 MW | 37 MW |
| 05:00 | 13 MW | 34 MW |
| 06:00 | 27 MW | 29 MW |
| 07:00 | 582 MW | 28 MW |
| 08:00 | 1,965 MW | 31 MW |
| 09:00 | 2,498 MW | 37 MW |
| 10:00 | 2,621 MW | 44 MW |
| 11:00 | 2,623 MW | 47 MW |
| 12:00 | 2,529 MW | 46 MW |
| 13:00 | 2,595 MW | 48 MW |
| 14:00 | 2,581 MW | 48 MW |
| 15:00 | 2,527 MW | 45 MW |
| 16:00 | 1,929 MW | 40 MW |
| 17:00 | 547 MW | 38 MW |
| 18:00 | 104 MW | 43 MW |
| 19:00 | 91 MW | 41 MW |
| 20:00 | 81 MW | 37 MW |
| 21:00 | 51 MW | 38 MW |
| 22:00 | 15 MW | 34 MW |
| 23:00 | 14 MW | 32 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Wind | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 4,160 MW | 3,905 MW | 12 MW | 30 MW | 4,118 MW |
| 01:00 | 4,002 MW | 3,784 MW | 12 MW | 29 MW | 3,960 MW |
| 02:00 | 3,876 MW | 3,709 MW | 13 MW | 29 MW | 3,835 MW |
| 03:00 | 3,809 MW | 3,649 MW | 13 MW | 31 MW | 3,765 MW |
| 04:00 | 3,796 MW | 3,648 MW | 13 MW | 37 MW | 3,746 MW |
| 05:00 | 3,887 MW | 3,627 MW | 13 MW | 34 MW | 3,841 MW |
| 06:00 | 4,029 MW | 3,612 MW | 27 MW | 29 MW | 3,973 MW |
| 07:00 | 4,138 MW | 3,933 MW | 582 MW | 28 MW | 3,528 MW |
| 08:00 | 4,571 MW | 4,688 MW | 1,965 MW | 31 MW | 2,576 MW |
| 09:00 | 4,848 MW | 5,041 MW | 2,498 MW | 37 MW | 2,312 MW |
| 10:00 | 4,960 MW | 5,175 MW | 2,621 MW | 44 MW | 2,295 MW |
| 11:00 | 5,030 MW | 5,198 MW | 2,623 MW | 47 MW | 2,360 MW |
| 12:00 | 5,003 MW | 5,119 MW | 2,529 MW | 46 MW | 2,428 MW |
| 13:00 | 5,111 MW | 5,202 MW | 2,595 MW | 48 MW | 2,468 MW |
| 14:00 | 5,175 MW | 5,306 MW | 2,581 MW | 48 MW | 2,547 MW |
| 15:00 | 5,280 MW | 5,448 MW | 2,527 MW | 45 MW | 2,707 MW |
| 16:00 | 5,389 MW | 5,337 MW | 1,929 MW | 40 MW | 3,420 MW |
| 17:00 | 5,394 MW | 4,995 MW | 547 MW | 38 MW | 4,809 MW |
| 18:00 | 5,365 MW | 4,918 MW | 104 MW | 43 MW | 5,217 MW |
| 19:00 | 5,232 MW | 4,853 MW | 91 MW | 41 MW | 5,100 MW |
| 20:00 | 5,024 MW | 4,638 MW | 81 MW | 37 MW | 4,906 MW |
| 21:00 | 4,842 MW | 4,370 MW | 51 MW | 38 MW | 4,753 MW |
| 22:00 | 4,584 MW | 4,134 MW | 15 MW | 34 MW | 4,535 MW |
| 23:00 | 4,339 MW | 4,040 MW | 14 MW | 32 MW | 4,293 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 7,149 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Los_Angeles. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/
World Power Monitor. NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_nevp_2026,
title = {{NEVP Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/nevp/
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