BPA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour, 29 September to 27 October 2026
In the 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, electricity demand in BPA averaged 6,787 MW and typically peaked at 08:00 local time (7,381 MW) and bottomed out at 02:00 (5,916 MW). With solar and wind taken off, the remaining load fell to 5,521 MW at 03:00 and then rose 636 MW between 15:00 to 18:00. Hours are local clock time (America/Los_Angeles).
Key Facts
- Over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, average demand in BPA was 6,787 MW. The hour of the day with the highest average demand was 08:00 local time (7,381 MW) and the lowest was 02:00 (5,916 MW).
- The largest three hour rise in average demand was 359 MW, between 15:00 to 18:00 local time.
- The single highest hour of demand in the 30 day window was 8,111 MW, in the hour starting 12 Oct 2026, 08:00 PDT (UTC-07:00).
- Solar output averaged 312 MW at its 10:00 peak, 5% of average demand.
- Demand minus solar and wind (net load) averaged 6,269 MW, fell to 5,521 MW at 03:00 and rose 636 MW over the three hours from 15:00 to 18:00, 9% of average demand.
Average Day by Local Hour
29 days to 2026-10-27, America/Los_Angeles time| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net generation |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 6,061 MW | 6,305 MW |
| 01:00 | 5,964 MW | 6,051 MW |
| 02:00 | 5,916 MW | 5,964 MW |
| 03:00 | 5,943 MW | 6,007 MW |
| 04:00 | 6,095 MW | 6,190 MW |
| 05:00 | 6,453 MW | 6,724 MW |
| 06:00 | 6,916 MW | 7,096 MW |
| 07:00 | 7,271 MW | 7,638 MW |
| 08:00 | 7,381 MW | 7,576 MW |
| 09:00 | 7,317 MW | 7,504 MW |
| 10:00 | 7,187 MW | 7,292 MW |
| 11:00 | 7,093 MW | 7,064 MW |
| 12:00 | 7,000 MW | 6,985 MW |
| 13:00 | 6,940 MW | 6,964 MW |
| 14:00 | 6,905 MW | 6,966 MW |
| 15:00 | 6,921 MW | 7,111 MW |
| 16:00 | 7,013 MW | 7,501 MW |
| 17:00 | 7,179 MW | 7,941 MW |
| 18:00 | 7,281 MW | 8,070 MW |
| 19:00 | 7,290 MW | 7,945 MW |
| 20:00 | 7,122 MW | 7,623 MW |
| 21:00 | 6,865 MW | 7,189 MW |
| 22:00 | 6,529 MW | 6,986 MW |
| 23:00 | 6,239 MW | 6,503 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Demand | Net load (demand minus solar and wind) |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 6,061 MW | 5,685 MW |
| 01:00 | 5,964 MW | 5,585 MW |
| 02:00 | 5,916 MW | 5,521 MW |
| 03:00 | 5,943 MW | 5,521 MW |
| 04:00 | 6,095 MW | 5,658 MW |
| 05:00 | 6,453 MW | 6,014 MW |
| 06:00 | 6,916 MW | 6,475 MW |
| 07:00 | 7,271 MW | 6,810 MW |
| 08:00 | 7,381 MW | 6,822 MW |
| 09:00 | 7,317 MW | 6,641 MW |
| 10:00 | 7,187 MW | 6,481 MW |
| 11:00 | 7,093 MW | 6,394 MW |
| 12:00 | 7,000 MW | 6,298 MW |
| 13:00 | 6,940 MW | 6,230 MW |
| 14:00 | 6,905 MW | 6,175 MW |
| 15:00 | 6,921 MW | 6,186 MW |
| 16:00 | 7,013 MW | 6,343 MW |
| 17:00 | 7,179 MW | 6,667 MW |
| 18:00 | 7,281 MW | 6,822 MW |
| 19:00 | 7,290 MW | 6,855 MW |
| 20:00 | 7,122 MW | 6,706 MW |
| 21:00 | 6,865 MW | 6,482 MW |
| 22:00 | 6,529 MW | 6,158 MW |
| 23:00 | 6,239 MW | 5,923 MW |
| Local hour (America/Los_Angeles) | Solar | Wind |
|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 1 MW | 375 MW |
| 01:00 | 0 MW | 378 MW |
| 02:00 | 0 MW | 394 MW |
| 03:00 | 0 MW | 423 MW |
| 04:00 | 0 MW | 437 MW |
| 05:00 | 0 MW | 439 MW |
| 06:00 | 0 MW | 440 MW |
| 07:00 | 19 MW | 441 MW |
| 08:00 | 149 MW | 409 MW |
| 09:00 | 289 MW | 387 MW |
| 10:00 | 312 MW | 394 MW |
| 11:00 | 302 MW | 397 MW |
| 12:00 | 293 MW | 409 MW |
| 13:00 | 291 MW | 420 MW |
| 14:00 | 308 MW | 421 MW |
| 15:00 | 307 MW | 428 MW |
| 16:00 | 238 MW | 432 MW |
| 17:00 | 95 MW | 418 MW |
| 18:00 | 21 MW | 438 MW |
| 19:00 | 12 MW | 422 MW |
| 20:00 | 2 MW | 415 MW |
| 21:00 | 1 MW | 382 MW |
| 22:00 | 3 MW | 367 MW |
| 23:00 | 1 MW | 314 MW |
| Local hour | Demand | Net generation | Solar | Wind | Net load |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | 6,061 MW | 6,305 MW | 1 MW | 375 MW | 5,685 MW |
| 01:00 | 5,964 MW | 6,051 MW | 0 MW | 378 MW | 5,585 MW |
| 02:00 | 5,916 MW | 5,964 MW | 0 MW | 394 MW | 5,521 MW |
| 03:00 | 5,943 MW | 6,007 MW | 0 MW | 423 MW | 5,521 MW |
| 04:00 | 6,095 MW | 6,190 MW | 0 MW | 437 MW | 5,658 MW |
| 05:00 | 6,453 MW | 6,724 MW | 0 MW | 439 MW | 6,014 MW |
| 06:00 | 6,916 MW | 7,096 MW | 0 MW | 440 MW | 6,475 MW |
| 07:00 | 7,271 MW | 7,638 MW | 19 MW | 441 MW | 6,810 MW |
| 08:00 | 7,381 MW | 7,576 MW | 149 MW | 409 MW | 6,822 MW |
| 09:00 | 7,317 MW | 7,504 MW | 289 MW | 387 MW | 6,641 MW |
| 10:00 | 7,187 MW | 7,292 MW | 312 MW | 394 MW | 6,481 MW |
| 11:00 | 7,093 MW | 7,064 MW | 302 MW | 397 MW | 6,394 MW |
| 12:00 | 7,000 MW | 6,985 MW | 293 MW | 409 MW | 6,298 MW |
| 13:00 | 6,940 MW | 6,964 MW | 291 MW | 420 MW | 6,230 MW |
| 14:00 | 6,905 MW | 6,966 MW | 308 MW | 421 MW | 6,175 MW |
| 15:00 | 6,921 MW | 7,111 MW | 307 MW | 428 MW | 6,186 MW |
| 16:00 | 7,013 MW | 7,501 MW | 238 MW | 432 MW | 6,343 MW |
| 17:00 | 7,179 MW | 7,941 MW | 95 MW | 418 MW | 6,667 MW |
| 18:00 | 7,281 MW | 8,070 MW | 21 MW | 438 MW | 6,822 MW |
| 19:00 | 7,290 MW | 7,945 MW | 12 MW | 422 MW | 6,855 MW |
| 20:00 | 7,122 MW | 7,623 MW | 2 MW | 415 MW | 6,706 MW |
| 21:00 | 6,865 MW | 7,189 MW | 1 MW | 382 MW | 6,482 MW |
| 22:00 | 6,529 MW | 6,986 MW | 3 MW | 367 MW | 6,158 MW |
| 23:00 | 6,239 MW | 6,503 MW | 1 MW | 314 MW | 5,923 MW |
Each value is the mean over 29 complete local days from 29 September to 27 October 2026, weekdays and weekends together, for the hour starting at that local clock time. Net load is demand minus solar and wind generation. The single highest hour of demand in the whole 30 day window was 8,111 MW; it is a published reading, not an average, and is not part of the profile above.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (US Government work, public domain) Data as of 2026-10-27. Profiles are computed by World Power Monitor from the operator's hourly series.
Assumptions
- Hours are local clock time in America/Los_Angeles. A local day is used only if it is whole inside the 30 day window and at least 22 of its hours are complete; the profile uses the 29 most recent such days. Daylight saving follows the local clock: on a clock change day the missing hour is absent and the repeated hour is averaged over both readings.
- The average mixes weekdays and weekends and covers only 29 days, so it describes recent conditions, not a seasonal norm.
- The evening ramp is the largest rise over three hours in the average profile, starting between 14:00 and 20:00 local time.
Related
Cite this page
World Power Monitor. (2026). BPA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/bpa/
World Power Monitor. BPA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour. Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/bpa/
@misc{wpm_load_shapes_bpa_2026,
title = {{BPA Daily Load Shape and Duck Curve by Hour}},
author = {{World Power Monitor}},
year = {2026},
note = {Data as of 2026-10-27. Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration.},
url = {https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/bpa/}
} Permalink: https://worldpowermonitor.com/load-shapes/bpa/
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